US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
11 signals across 1 market · $38,422 tracked · resolves Aug 20, 2026
This event tracks whether the United States and Iran officially extend the 60-day negotiation period created by their June 14, 2026 MOU. PolySpotter follows Polymarket pricing and smart money activity on the Yes/No outcome, including a signal from a profitable serial geopolitics bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 17-wallet sharp adding NO
A highly profitable 93% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is adding to an existing No position on a geopolitics market with recent No-side momentum.
$2,148Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.6 - 17-wallet sharp adding NO
A highly profitable 93% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is adding to an existing No position on a geopolitics market with recent No-side momentum.
$1,486Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.6 - 17-wallet sharp adding NO
A highly profitable 93% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is adding to an existing No position on a geopolitics market with recent No-side momentum.
$3,760Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.9 - Seasoned wallets buying NO
Three experienced cross-market wallets bought $6.9k of No together on a geopolitics market with recent No-side momentum.
$7,433Score: 5.6 - New repeat wallet buys NO
A 6-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets is taking a fresh $4.1k No position on a geopolitically sensitive market where informed views are plausible.
$4,064Score: 5.5 - Proven cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and large lifetime profits bought No on a geopolitics market at 42¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
$2,647Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - Proven cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and large lifetime profits bought No on a geopolitics market at 42¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
$2,131Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - Proven cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and large lifetime profits bought No on a geopolitics market at 42¢, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
$3,087Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - 90% cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 90% resolved win rate bought $5k of Yes on a geopolitical extension market.
$5,040Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial geopolitics bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% resolved record and +$50k P&L bought Yes on a geopolitics market where informed positioning is plausible.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$7,865 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$7,394 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xbf961d…9942$6,625 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x79d980…baec$5,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xe4de86…c949$4,064 · 1 market · 1 alert
FAQs
What are the odds the US-Iran negotiation period is extended?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing whether both the United States and Iran will officially announce an extension before the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity to show whether informed bettors appear to be leaning Yes or No.
What does this Polymarket event resolve on?
The event resolves to Yes if both the US and Iran publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period created by the June 14, 2026 MOU by August 20, 2026. If that does not happen, it resolves to No.
Is smart money betting on the US-Iran extension market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,625 in smart money across this event, including activity flagged from a profitable serial geopolitics bettor. That type of signal can be useful context, though it does not guarantee the final outcome.
When does the US-Iran negotiation extension market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on announcements made by August 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying mutual extension is officially announced by then, the market resolves No.