Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
7 signals across 2 markets · $20,585 tracked · resolves Nov 3, 2026
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 91% win-rate political sharp
A highly proven political trader with a 91% win rate and $1.9M profit is taking a fresh $5k position on No in this Senate control market, making it a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
$4,991Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.0 - 91% win-rate political sharp
A highly proven Polymarket trader with a 91% win rate and nearly $1.9M profit is taking a fresh cross-market political position by buying No on GOP Senate control at 55¢.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.0 - 91% win-rate political sharp
A highly proven 91% win-rate trader with nearly $1.9M in profit is taking the anti-Democratic side here via a Yes sale, making this a notable copy-trade despite the modest size.
$1,849Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.0 - 91% win-rate political sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet with nearly $1.9M in profits is taking a fresh cross-market position on Republican Senate control, making this trader worth following despite the modest size.
$2,361Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.0 - Profitable thesis trader
Profitable high-volume political trader with a 67% win rate is expressing a cross-market thesis here by effectively buying Yes at 43¢, well below the current 56-57¢ market.
$2,830Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 7.0 - 91% winner buys Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 91% win rate bought Democratic Senate control at 56¢, making this a sharp political signal worth surfacing despite only one trade.
$4,816Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.0 - 91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $10k profit is buying No on Senate control, making this worth surfacing despite only a moderate composite score.
$1,938Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$15,817 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x606d65…1aaf$2,830 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xdf68e9…20d8$1,938 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins