Event

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

1 signal across 1 market · $2,809 tracked · resolves Aug 1, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether a listed U.S. official signs a written agreement involving both the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026. The current child market focuses on JD Vance, with PolySpotter tracking $2,809 in smart money activity and a recent 92% winner buying breakout signal.

Markets (1)

  1. Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1 signal · $2,809 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 92% winner buying breakout

    Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved-bet win rate bought Yes as the market broke sharply higher.

    $2,809Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 1.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x0cb16fdea6$2,809 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the U.S. x Iran deal signer odds on Polymarket?

This event shows prediction-market odds for whether the listed individual, currently JD Vance, signs a qualifying U.S.-Iran agreement by the July 31, 2026 deadline.

What is smart money doing in this U.S. x Iran deal market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,809 in smart money across this event, including a recent alert described as a 92% winner buying breakout, suggesting notable activity from a historically successful trader.

What has to happen for this market to resolve Yes?

The listed individual must sign a written agreement in an official capacity, and both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must be parties to that agreement by July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Does the agreement have to be signed directly by both the U.S. and Iran?

No. The rules say both countries must be parties to the agreement, but representatives of either or both countries do not necessarily have to sign it directly, as long as the listed individual signs in an official capacity.

When does the U.S. x Iran deal market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the deadline of July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with the listed resolution time around August 1, 2026 UTC.