Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,233.
Categories: Politics, Trump, Culture, Trump-Netanyahu
Notable Trades
Linked cluster scaling into No
Three wallets, including two linked accounts and experienced profitable traders, made a concentrated $17,039 bet on No amid a sharp volume spike.
- Three wallets put $17,039 on No, including two accounts sharing a funder.
- The trade followed a 42x historical volume spike, while No was bought around 67–69¢.
- Two participating serial traders win 72–73% of resolved bets across hundreds of markets.
$17,039 on No
Serial trader scaling into No
A serial trader with 503 resolved bets added $4,194 to an existing No position during a 72.8x volume spike, though the historical edge is modest.
- A serial trader with 503 resolved bets and $2.6 million in historical volume is adding to an existing No position.
- The $4,194 purchase came during a 72.8x spike in activity, suggesting notable market-wide positioning.
- The wallet already has $13,000 invested in No, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine new position.
$4,194 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xbc8c...273f — Outcome 10446898, $99,426 (74% win rate)
- 0x955c...990f — Outcome 10446898, $34,758 (74% win rate)
- 0xbacd...ab35 — Outcome 10446898, $23,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x35e4...5bbc — Outcome 10446898, $15,000 (32% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 10446898, $12,164
- 0x5c53...8c30 — Outcome 10446898, $10,000
- 0x6b5a...b691 — Outcome 10446898, $9,000
- 0x3694...bd9e — Outcome 10446898, $5,898
- 0x9047...7663 — Outcome 10446898, $5,690 (74% win rate)
- 0x6e13...a801 — Outcome 10446898, $5,643 (67% win rate)
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