Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
3 signals across 1 market · $8,474 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% winner buys NO
A highly profitable 85% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought No, taking a sizable share of quiet 24h volume on a plausible geopolitical market.
$2,402Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - Repeat new wallet buyer
A very new wallet has already been flagged four times for sizable bets and is adding another $1.3k Yes position in a relatively small OPEC market, suggesting repeat conviction worth watching.
$1,261Wallet win rate: 33%Score: 5.5 - Profitable serial macro bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought $4.8k of No on a geopolitics market, a meaningful share of recent volume.
$4,811Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbaa2bc…2c73$4,811 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x31c518…ede4$2,402 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x5203c3…d25c$1,261 · 1 market · 1 alert · 33% wins