Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
4 signals across 2 markets · $17,217 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2029
This Polymarket event tracks whether the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) will officially declare one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems solved by December 31, 2027. PolySpotter is tracking $5,646 in smart money and a recent signal from a serial trader scaling into No.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 17-wallet funded cluster backs Yes
A 17-wallet funded cluster has deployed over $10,000 around this event, with this wallet selling No at an effective 35¢ Yes entry despite only a modest individual track record.
$2,400Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 8.2 - 17-wallet cluster exits No
A 17-wallet funded cluster is exiting No in a thin window, but this individual trade appears to be profit-taking rather than fresh conviction.
$8,153Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 7.5 - Serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader added $5,646 to an existing No position in a relatively thin market, though the bet is less compelling because their 94% win rate comes at an average winning price of 97%.
$5,646Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.3 - Serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader added $5,646 to an existing No position in a relatively thin market, though the bet is less compelling because their 94% win rate comes at an average winning price of 97%.
$1,018Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8a4c78…532b$10,553 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 53% wins
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$6,665 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the CMI Millennium Prize Problem prediction-market odds?
The event page shows the current Polymarket odds for Yes and No across the market on whether CMI will declare a remaining Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027.
What does this CMI prediction market resolve on?
It resolves Yes if CMI awards a Millennium Prize or officially declares one of the six remaining unsolved problems solved on its website or in an official communication by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves No.
What is smart money doing in the CMI market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,646 in smart-money activity across the event, including a recent alert showing a serial trader scaling into No.
Which Millennium Prize Problems are included?
The market covers any of the six Millennium Prize Problems that remain officially unsolved at the time of the market. It is not limited to one specific mathematical problem.
When does the CMI Millennium Prize market resolve?
The child market uses a December 31, 2027 deadline and resolves based on CMI's official announcements by 11:59 PM Eastern Time that day. The event's platform metadata lists a resolution timestamp of January 1, 2029 UTC.