Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?
1 signal across 1 market · $4,442 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether IMF Portwatch reports at least 20 ship arrivals through the Strait of Hormuz on any single day from April 8-12, 2026. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome around a key shipping threshold for one of the world’s most important oil and cargo transit chokepoints. PolySpotter is tracking $4,442 in smart-money activity, including a recent signal from a serial event bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9d7369…216b$4,442 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Strait of Hormuz ship transits on April 8-12?
The market odds show how traders are pricing whether 20 or more ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz on at least one day between April 8 and April 12, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live market and highlights notable smart-money moves as the odds change.
What does the Yes outcome mean in this prediction market?
Yes resolves if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of Strait of Hormuz transit calls, or “Arrivals of Ships,” equal to or above 20 for any date from April 8 through April 12, 2026. If no day reaches that threshold, the market resolves No.
Who is betting on the Strait of Hormuz transit market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,442 in smart-money activity across this event. One recent alert flagged activity from a serial event bettor, which can be useful context for traders watching whether informed money is leaning Yes or No.
Why do traders care about Strait of Hormuz ship transit odds?
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical route for oil tankers and cargo vessels, so changes in transit activity can reflect geopolitical risk, shipping disruptions, or energy-market concerns. Prediction-market odds offer a real-time view of how traders assess the chance of a high-transit day.
When does this Strait of Hormuz market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the April 8-12, 2026 observation window and resolves based on IMF Portwatch data. It can resolve once the relevant Portwatch ship-arrival figures are available and show whether the 20-ship threshold was met.