Part of: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,442.
Categories: Economy, Hormuz, Iran, Geopolitics, Strait of Hormuz, Trump, Oil
Notable Trades
77% serial event bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 77% hit rate is putting $4.4k into No on a niche shipping market, and the bet is large relative to recent volume.
- This bettor has won 77% of 1,032 resolved markets across 128 events.
- They just put $4.4k on No, equal to 58% of this market's recent volume.
- This is a fresh scale-in after a tiny earlier trade, with No bought at 87¢ in a market that fell 16.6% in a day.
$4,442 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xae02...6d55 — Outcome 24987078, $3,000
- 0xa510...1f80 — Outcome 24987078, $537
- 0x1851...7016 — Outcome 24987078, $467 (72% win rate)
- 0x0061...8fd6 — Outcome 24987078, $200
- 0x1fc9...ace5 — Outcome 24987078, $125
- 0x0603...8f62 — Outcome 24987078, $119
- 0xf2e7...843e — Outcome 24987078, $100
- 0x7468...3d24 — Outcome 24987078, $65
- 0xba67...4d9b — Outcome 24987078, $51
- 0x9300...ba45 — Outcome 24987078, $33
Related Theses
No US-Iran peace deal
Covers 7 related markets
US will invade Iran
Covers 1 related market
