WY-AL Republican Primary Winner
3 signals across 1 market · $8,572 tracked · resolves Aug 18, 2026
The WY-AL Republican Primary Winner prediction market tracks who will win the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s at-large U.S. House seat in 2026. The event currently includes a market on whether Chuck Gray will become the nominee, with $1,424 in tracked smart money and one recent signal indicating a whale is scaling into the “No” position.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial trader buys Yes
A highly active, profitable serial trader made a concentrated Yes purchase amid an extraordinary volume spike, although the market has since moved sharply against the position.
$3,948Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.7 - New whale scaling into No
A brand-new wallet is building a large No position in a thin Wyoming primary market, representing meaningful conviction despite no track record.
$1,424Score: 3.0 - Serial trader scales into No
A serial cross-market trader with a profitable 356-bet history added substantially to an existing No position during a 221x volume spike, though the historical edge is moderate.
$3,200Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xecaa88…77a9$3,948 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xc8b9a3…b836$3,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x680d03…afe7$1,424 · 1 market · 1 alert
FAQs
What are the WY-AL Republican primary odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket’s WY-AL Republican Primary Winner event tracks the market for whether Chuck Gray will win the Republican nomination. Check the live event page for current prices and implied odds.
What is smart money doing in the Wyoming-AL Republican primary market?
PolySpotter is tracking $1,424 in smart money across the event and one signal. A recent alert reported a new whale scaling into the “No” position on Chuck Gray becoming the nominee.
When is the Wyoming at-large Republican primary?
The Republican primary for Wyoming’s at-large U.S. House district is scheduled for August 18, 2026.
When will this WY-AL Republican primary prediction market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve based on the Republican nominee selected in the August 18, 2026 primary. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET, it resolves to “Other” under the market rules.