Part of: Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,144.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Peru Election, Peru, rewards 200, 4.5, 20
Notable Trades
Profitable 77% win-rate bettor
Sharp-wallet override: the bettor has a 77% resolved win rate and $246k lifetime profit, making even a modest Yes buy worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $246k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 30¢, implying a roughly 3.3x payout if Sánchez wins by 0–4%.
- This wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting repeated large-conviction activity.
$1,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable new wallet on No
A profitable new wallet with repeated large flagged bets is buying No in a quiet Peru election-margin market at over 2.5x the past-day volume.
- This new bettor is already up $3.1K and has had 9 large-bet alerts totaling $22.3K.
- The $1.8K No buy was 267% of the market’s past-day volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- They are fading a narrow 0–4% Sánchez win even as Yes has risen 13.5% over the past week.
$1,799 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11259956, $79,787
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 11257471, $16,383 (83% win rate)
- 0xa7ee...17f6 — Outcome 11257471, $10,454
- 0xf564...c6c6 — Outcome 11257471, $5,036
- 0x6d5a...94e2 — Outcome 11257471, $4,511
- 0x7d95...dd91 — Outcome 11257471, $3,478
- 0x15d4...6ddd — Outcome 11257471, $2,582
- 0x3bee...aecc — Outcome 11257471, $2,499
- 0xbc8f...04ec — Outcome 11257471, $2,320
- 0x19cc...5842 — Outcome 11257471, $2,162
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