Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
6 signals across 2 markets · $22,325 tracked · resolves Jun 7, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on the margin of victory in Peru’s 2026 presidential runoff, focused on whether Sánchez wins the second round by 0–4%. PolySpotter has flagged $1,799 in smart money activity, including a profitable new wallet taking the No side.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet Yes surge
High-score one-sided cluster drove a large volume spike and sharp price move into Yes, despite weak wallet track records and a wide spread.
$12,367Score: 10.6 - Profitable new wallet on No
A profitable new wallet with repeated large flagged bets is buying No in a quiet Peru election-margin market at over 2.5x the past-day volume.
$1,799Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved history is buying Yes on a political margin market at 46¢.
$2,827Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial political bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with $874k lifetime P&L bought Yes on a niche political margin market that has already moved sharply upward.
$2,216Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 3.0 - Profitable 77% win-rate bettor
Sharp-wallet override: the bettor has a 77% resolved win rate and $246k lifetime profit, making even a modest Yes buy worth surfacing.
$1,345Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial election trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 893 resolved bets and $874k lifetime profit bought Yes into strong recent momentum.
$1,771Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xecaa88…77a9$6,814 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x8b3689…a393$1,799 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$1,345 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Peru’s 2026 second-round election margin?
This hub tracks Polymarket pricing for the runoff margin of victory, specifically the market on whether Sánchez wins by 0–4%. The live odds reflect how traders are pricing a narrow Sánchez win versus other outcomes.
What is the smart money doing on this Peru election market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,799 in smart money activity across this event. The latest signal flagged a profitable new wallet betting No on Sánchez winning the second round by 0–4%.
What does the 0–4% margin market mean?
It asks whether Sánchez wins the 2026 Peru presidential runoff by an absolute margin of 0 to 4 percentage points over the second-place candidate, based on valid votes.
When does this Peru election prediction market resolve?
The second round is scheduled for June 7, 2026. Resolution should follow the official election outcome and reported valid-vote percentages used to determine the margin of victory.