Part of: Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
This prediction market tracks whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin have an in-person interaction before the end of 2026, or whether there is no meeting before 2027. It resolves on December 31, 2026, based on the location and occurrence of their next meeting, with $1,500 in smart money tracked across 1 signal so far.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,915.
Categories: World, Politics, Ukraine, Trump, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
New wallet repeat buyer
A 5-day-old repeat bettor put $1.5k on a quiet geopolitical market, making a high-conviction Yes buy despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 5-day-old wallet has now made two flagged bets totaling $4.7k, suggesting fresh conviction.
- This $1.5k buy was about 60% of the market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 83¢ is a high-conviction bet that no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting happens before 2027.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
23-for-23 sharp buyer
Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the buyer has a perfect 23-0 resolved record with positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won all 23 resolved trades and is up about $10k lifetime.
- The $1.2k buy was large for this quiet market, equal to about 77% of recent 24h volume.
- Buying at 81¢ shows they are backing the no-meeting-before-2027 outcome with high confidence.
$1,215 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet in quiet market
A 1-day-old wallet made a concentrated Yes bet in a quiet geopolitical market, amounting to far more than recent trading volume despite having no resolved track record.
- A brand-new wallet bought $1,200 of Yes, over 12x the market’s recent 24h volume flagged by the detector.
- This is a quiet geopolitical market with only modest daily activity, so a single buyer taking 81¢ shows clear conviction.
- The wallet has no resolved history yet, so the signal is about fresh positioning rather than proven skill.
$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $19,994
- 0x8448...79bb — No, $17,000 (25% win rate)
- 0x51de...9e4a — No, $12,699 (36% win rate)
- 0xd44e...67e2 — Yes, $12,602 (61% win rate)
- 0x4344...f90d — No, $12,327 (61% win rate)
- 0x3115...61d5 — Yes, $8,169 (73% win rate)
- 0x2c69...1019 — Yes, $7,426 (100% win rate)
- 0xd426...334a — No, $6,366 (46% win rate)
- 0x83d2...3a28 — Yes, $5,831 (72% win rate)
- 0x0f2b...665a — Yes, $5,000 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
Lula wins Brazil 2026
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