Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran meeting timing arbitrage”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $16,384 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xd44e961% win rate

Total

$16,384

Markets

7

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
    $3,863 @ 83¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
    $1,987 @ 68¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 20¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 65¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $1,700 @ 55¢
  6. 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
    $1,535 @ 61¢
  7. 7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
    $2,300 @ 27¢
Iran meeting timing arbitrage — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter