Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will reach or exceed $140 on any trading day by the final trading day of June 2026. It resolves on June 30, 2026, based on CME settlement prices, with $9,244 in smart money tracked and recent signals showing both Yes and No whale activity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

42 smart money signals detected, totaling $286,115.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable whale betting oil spike

Profitable high-volume wallet is making a contrarian longshot bet on crude oil spiking, with related positioning across four markets.

  • This wallet is up $1.3M lifetime on $16.2M traded, despite a low hit rate that suggests it may specialize in asymmetric bets.
  • It bought $9.2k of Yes and has $13k positioned across 4 related crude-oil markets.
  • Average entry was about 8¢ while the market is now near 3¢, implying a cheaper follow-on entry than the bettor paid.

$9,244 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%

93% winner buying oil spike

Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is effectively buying Yes at 10¢ as part of a larger cross-market oil thesis.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45,940 lifetime.
  • They are building a broader oil thesis, with $17,639 across 3 related markets.
  • Selling No at 90¢ is effectively buying Yes at 10¢ on a large crude oil spike.

$3,420 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner betting oil spike

Sharp 93% lifetime wallet is taking the Yes side on an oil spike market as part of a 3-market cross-market thesis.

  • This bettor has won 93% of resolved trades and is up about $45,940 lifetime.
  • They are building a cross-market oil thesis, with $18,863 placed across 3 related markets.
  • Selling No at 86¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 14¢, a long-shot bet on crude oil reaching $140 by June 2026.

$4,644 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a bearish crude-oil thesis across related markets, converting this SELL Yes into BUY No at 89¢.

  • This bettor is up $167k lifetime across 157 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 81 markets across 40 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • This is part of a $14.4k position across 3 related crude-oil markets.

$1,723 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

93% winner buying long-shot YES

Sharp profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on a long-shot crude oil spike while positioned across three related markets.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45,940 lifetime.
  • They have put $15,451 across 3 related crude oil markets, showing a broader thesis.
  • Selling No at 88¢ is the same as buying Yes at 12¢, a long-shot bet on oil reaching $140 by June 2026.

$1,232 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

New whale buying oil spike

A 1-day-old wallet is making repeat five-figure-sized bets, effectively buying the long-shot Yes side on a crude oil spike market at 15¢.

  • This wallet is less than 2 days old and has already made $14.5k in flagged large bets.
  • This trade is effectively a $7.8k bet on Yes at 15¢, a long-shot oil spike position.
  • The bet is about 22% of the market’s past-day volume, showing meaningful conviction.

$7,806 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

$495K-profit macro whale

A profitable wallet is effectively buying Yes at 16¢ with $30k here and $66k across related crude oil markets, showing a concentrated macro thesis despite only moderate signal strength.

  • This wallet is up about $495K lifetime and is making a $30K bet on Yes.
  • The same bettor has put $66.7K across related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-spike thesis.
  • Selling No at 84¢ is the same as buying Yes at 16¢, implying a long-shot payoff if crude hits $140.

$30,369 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

77% winner oil thesis

Profitable 77% win-rate wallet is expressing a repeated cross-market thesis against crude oil reaching extreme highs, with $17k across five related markets.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $19k lifetime.
  • They have placed $17k across 5 related oil markets, suggesting a clear macro view rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 83¢ means they are paying up for the view that crude stays below $140 by June 2026.

$1,660 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable macro bettor scaling NO

Profitable wallet with $478k lifetime P&L is putting $32k into No and $55k across related crude-oil spike markets, showing a clear cross-market thesis.

  • This bettor is up $478k lifetime despite winning only 46% of resolved bets, suggesting selective larger wins.
  • They bought $32k of No here and $55k across related crude-oil spike markets.
  • Entry at 81¢ implies a high-conviction view that crude will not settle at or above $140 by June 2026.

$32,348 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%

99% winner oil bet

Elite wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate and $13.5M lifetime profit bought $9.6K of Yes on crude oil hitting $140 by June 2026.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $13.5M lifetime.
  • They put $9.6K on Yes at 19¢, implying a high-conviction long-shot oil move.
  • This is a serial cross-market trader with 38 events tracked and a 99% win record.

$9,605 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1925...4654 Yes, $140,568 (47% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Yes, $90,544 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x1664...a0ce Yes, $67,600
  4. 0x7447...a16d Yes, $63,268 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x93fb...3e4a Yes, $45,645 (33% win rate)
  6. 0x9efd...b227 No, $41,204
  7. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $40,000 (47% win rate)
  8. 0xf4d4...c3f9 No, $40,000 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x9efd...ad00 No, $35,628 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x9981...dec4 No, $35,168 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

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Lightning, Stars or Knights win

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Crude stays range bound

Covers 9 related markets

Iran closes airspace in June

Covers 4 related markets

WTI stays between $90 and $105

Covers 5 related markets

Iran peace deadline arbitrage

Covers 10 related markets

Iran meeting by April 21

Covers 14 related markets

Crude oil stays rangebound

Covers 5 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

26dWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$286,115 tracked42 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
4¢
No
96¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
99¢
94¢
90¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

2d ago

$9,244 on Yes at 8¢

8¢4¢4¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

11d ago

$3,420 on Yes at 10¢

10¢4¢6¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

11d ago

$4,644 on Yes at 14¢

14¢4¢10¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

11d ago

$1,723 on No at 89¢

89¢96¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

11d ago

$1,232 on Yes at 12¢

12¢4¢8¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

11d ago

$7,806 on Yes at 15¢

15¢4¢11¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

13d ago

$30,369 on Yes at 16¢

16¢4¢12¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

14d ago

$1,660 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

16d ago

$32,348 on No at 81¢

81¢96¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

16d ago

$9,605 on Yes at 19¢

19¢4¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

17d ago

$5,511 on Yes at 16¢

16¢4¢12¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

19d ago

$17,233 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

19d ago

$14,106 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

19d ago

$2,700 on Yes at 18¢

18¢4¢14¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

19d ago

$3,509 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

20d ago

$3,735 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

20d ago

$4,150 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

21d ago

$6,010 on No at 82¢

82¢96¢14¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

21d ago

$2,460 on No at 81¢

81¢96¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

21d ago

$2,025 on No at 81¢

81¢96¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

21d ago

$1,215 on No at 81¢

81¢96¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

22d ago

$8,519 on Yes at 20¢

20¢4¢16¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

22d ago

$16,400 on Yes at 18¢

18¢4¢14¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

23d ago

$18,577 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

24d ago

$2,660 on Yes at 19¢

19¢4¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

25d ago

$1,828 on Yes at 18¢

18¢4¢14¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

27d ago

$2,268 on Yes at 19¢

19¢4¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

29d ago

$2,009 on Yes at 19¢

19¢4¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

29d ago

$10,772 on Yes at 19¢

19¢4¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

30d ago

$1,200 on Yes at 24¢

24¢4¢20¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

34d ago

$11,197 on Yes at 25¢

25¢4¢21¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

35d ago

$1,273

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

35d ago

$2,472

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

36d ago

$1,038

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

36d ago

$1,640 on No at 82¢

82¢96¢14¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

36d ago

$2,430 on No at 81¢

81¢96¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

45d ago

$7,572 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

46d ago

$9,028 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

51d ago

$1,105 on Yes at 24¢

24¢4¢20¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

52d ago

$1,717 on Yes at 30¢

30¢4¢26¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

53d ago

$7,317 on Yes at 27¢

27¢4¢23¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

14d ago

$10,389 on No at 83¢

83¢96¢13¢

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