Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will reach $140 or higher on any trading day before the final trading day of June 2026. It resolves on June 30, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $8,064 in smart money activity across 2 signals, with recent alerts showing both No cluster buying and whale interest on Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
41 smart money signals detected, totaling $276,871.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
93% winner buying oil spike
Sharp 93% win-rate wallet is effectively buying Yes at 10¢ as part of a larger cross-market oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45,940 lifetime.
- They are building a broader oil thesis, with $17,639 across 3 related markets.
- Selling No at 90¢ is effectively buying Yes at 10¢ on a large crude oil spike.
$3,420 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% winner betting oil spike
Sharp 93% lifetime wallet is taking the Yes side on an oil spike market as part of a 3-market cross-market thesis.
- This bettor has won 93% of resolved trades and is up about $45,940 lifetime.
- They are building a cross-market oil thesis, with $18,863 placed across 3 related markets.
- Selling No at 86¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 14¢, a long-shot bet on crude oil reaching $140 by June 2026.
$4,644 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a bearish crude-oil thesis across related markets, converting this SELL Yes into BUY No at 89¢.
- This bettor is up $167k lifetime across 157 resolved markets.
- They have traded 81 markets across 40 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- This is part of a $14.4k position across 3 related crude-oil markets.
$1,723 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
93% winner buying long-shot YES
Sharp profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on a long-shot crude oil spike while positioned across three related markets.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45,940 lifetime.
- They have put $15,451 across 3 related crude oil markets, showing a broader thesis.
- Selling No at 88¢ is the same as buying Yes at 12¢, a long-shot bet on oil reaching $140 by June 2026.
$1,232 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
New whale buying oil spike
A 1-day-old wallet is making repeat five-figure-sized bets, effectively buying the long-shot Yes side on a crude oil spike market at 15¢.
- This wallet is less than 2 days old and has already made $14.5k in flagged large bets.
- This trade is effectively a $7.8k bet on Yes at 15¢, a long-shot oil spike position.
- The bet is about 22% of the market’s past-day volume, showing meaningful conviction.
$7,806 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
$495K-profit macro whale
A profitable wallet is effectively buying Yes at 16¢ with $30k here and $66k across related crude oil markets, showing a concentrated macro thesis despite only moderate signal strength.
- This wallet is up about $495K lifetime and is making a $30K bet on Yes.
- The same bettor has put $66.7K across related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-spike thesis.
- Selling No at 84¢ is the same as buying Yes at 16¢, implying a long-shot payoff if crude hits $140.
$30,369 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
77% winner oil thesis
Profitable 77% win-rate wallet is expressing a repeated cross-market thesis against crude oil reaching extreme highs, with $17k across five related markets.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $19k lifetime.
- They have placed $17k across 5 related oil markets, suggesting a clear macro view rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying No at 83¢ means they are paying up for the view that crude stays below $140 by June 2026.
$1,660 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable macro bettor scaling NO
Profitable wallet with $478k lifetime P&L is putting $32k into No and $55k across related crude-oil spike markets, showing a clear cross-market thesis.
- This bettor is up $478k lifetime despite winning only 46% of resolved bets, suggesting selective larger wins.
- They bought $32k of No here and $55k across related crude-oil spike markets.
- Entry at 81¢ implies a high-conviction view that crude will not settle at or above $140 by June 2026.
$32,348 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
99% winner oil bet
Elite wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate and $13.5M lifetime profit bought $9.6K of Yes on crude oil hitting $140 by June 2026.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $13.5M lifetime.
- They put $9.6K on Yes at 19¢, implying a high-conviction long-shot oil move.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with 38 events tracked and a 99% win record.
$9,605 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
79% cross-market whale
Sharp, highly profitable cross-market trader bought $5.5k of Yes on crude oil hitting $140 by June 2026, adding a high-conviction long-tail energy bet.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up about $2.47M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $4.0M deployed across 82 events.
- They bought $5.5k of Yes around a 16¢ average entry, before the market moved to 19¢.
$5,511 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 45%
Top Holders
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Yes, $90,544 (99% win rate)
- 0x1925...4654 — Yes, $73,109 (45% win rate)
- 0x1664...a0ce — Yes, $67,600
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Yes, $45,645 (33% win rate)
- 0xf4d4...c3f9 — No, $40,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x9981...dec4 — No, $35,168 (91% win rate)
- 0x88d6...de00 — No, $35,158
- 0x7447...a16d — Yes, $28,965 (58% win rate)
- 0x9efd...ad00 — No, $24,725 (92% win rate)
- 0x74b4...6bea — No, $24,600 (77% win rate)
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