Part of: Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether United States warships, including military support or cargo vessels, will transit the Strait of Hormuz before the May 31, 2026 resolution deadline. PolySpotter tracks the market’s live Polymarket odds and smart money activity, including a recent NO buy signal from a serial cross-market winner.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,067.
Categories: Oil, Strait of Hormuz, Iran, Geopolitics, Naval, U.S. x Iran
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market winner buying NO
Serial cross-market trader with a 75% resolved-bet record bought No in a thin geopolitical market, and the position has already moved strongly in their favor.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $161k lifetime.
- They have traded across 94 events and 185 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Bought No at 63¢ in a quiet market, and the price has already moved to 72¢.
$1,067 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xdbdf...bd98 — Outcome 73462649, $3,729
- 0x2ec7...ceb3 — Outcome 73462649, $2,338
- 0x416d...4320 — Outcome 73462649, $1,333
- 0x5cd4...d051 — Outcome 73462649, $1,000
- 0x74bf...2a6e — Outcome 73462649, $1,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x386f...db83 — Outcome 73462649, $285
- 0xe3ae...217a — Outcome 73462649, $203
- 0x0f1e...461a — Outcome 73462649, $180
- 0x50a7...f6b9 — Outcome 31267797, $161
- 0xecb2...a30c — Outcome 73462649, $132
