Part of: LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,143.
Categories: Elections, US Election, Los Angeles Mayoral Election, Los Angeles, Politics, LA Mayor
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader put $16.6k on Yes during a major volume spike in a political market.
- This bettor is up about $806k lifetime across 884 resolved trades.
- They have traded 152 markets across 103 events, showing a long track record in event-based bets.
- A $16.6k Yes buy came during an 859x volume spike, with the market already moving up 6.5% today.
$16,565 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Repeat new-wallet buyer
A 7-day-old repeat large bettor is buying $5.6k of Yes near 81¢ on a political market with strong recent momentum, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
- A 7-day-old wallet has now triggered 4 large-bet alerts, with $18.3k in flagged positions.
- This $5.6k Yes buy at ~81¢ is sizable, equal to about one-quarter of visible liquidity.
- The market is up 6.5 points in the past day, so the bet aligns with fresh momentum.
$5,578 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Yes, $30,679 (69% win rate)
- 0x1fee...ed5e — No, $25,055 (85% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $23,400
- 0xd3a6...fd55 — No, $11,667 (40% win rate)
- 0xefc7...3bfd — Yes, $6,912
- 0xcbbc...ea5a — Yes, $6,831 (72% win rate)
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — No, $5,386 (57% win rate)
- 0xfb51...742d — Yes, $4,778 (75% win rate)
- 0xecfa...3c6f — Yes, $4,067
- 0xc3fd...6acf — Yes, $4,032
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