Part of: Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
This prediction market asks whether Miguel Díaz-Canel will cease to be President of Cuba at any point before December 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, detained, or otherwise effectively stops holding the presidency during the market window; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $2,842 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal, including an alert that an 82% winner exited a No position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,842.
Categories: Politics, Geopolitics, Venezuela, Trump, Cuba
Notable Trades
82% winner exits No
A profitable 82% winner exited a No position, which is directionally equivalent to buying Yes, but the signal is modest because this looks like closing a prior position rather than fresh sizing.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $6.1K lifetime.
- They sold No at 52¢, which is directionally equivalent to buying Yes around 48¢.
- The trade is modest in size, but the wallet has a proven record across 44 resolved markets.
$2,842 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xcca9...4c9f — No, $29,258 (63% win rate)
- 0x6b3f...43dc — Yes, $27,577
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $18,518 (77% win rate)
- 0x8f15...c363 — Yes, $11,495 (69% win rate)
- 0x60a9...5a71 — No, $8,923 (49% win rate)
- 0x61ea...bbf7 — Yes, $7,980 (43% win rate)
- 0xea66...bb43 — No, $7,969 (86% win rate)
- 0x4e25...d7a7 — Yes, $6,879 (65% win rate)
- 0x4d74...e462 — No, $5,031 (89% win rate)
- 0x8599...bace — No, $4,448 (50% win rate)
