Event

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

5 signals across 1 market · $19,837 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets (1)

  1. Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?5 signals · $19,837 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 74% win-rate macro bettor

    A high-volume cross-market specialist with a strong long-term record bought No in a relatively quiet Cuba leadership market, making this worth watching despite the modest ticket size.

    $1,623Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 5.0
  2. Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

    A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 73% win rate is taking a sizable fresh position on No in a political market at 66¢, now marked at 70¢.

    $3,176Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0
  3. 94% winner buying NO

    A highly profitable wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a political leadership market at 81¢.

    $1,500Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0
  4. Serial winner buying favorite

    Serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved-market win rate is buying No, but the edge is modest because this is a liquid market and the trade is on the favorite.

    $4,100Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 4.0
  5. Serial cross-market bettor

    A serial cross-market trader with positive P&L is making a sizable $9.4k effective BUY Yes at 15¢ on a political leadership market.

    $9,438Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 2.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa022ba77f8$9,438 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  2. 0xfb5148742d$4,799 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 74% wins
  3. 0xa96c14d1c7$4,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  4. 0x5fdf5328a2$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins

More on this event