Part of: 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
The 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeongsangnam Province. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,184.
Categories: Elections, World, Politics, Global Elections, South Korea, Main Election, World Elections
Notable Trades
83% winner buying politics
Surfaced despite a weak price-impact signal because the buyer has a long profitable history with an 83% resolved-bet win rate.
- This bettor has won 83% of 917 resolved bets and is up $11.6k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 77¢ on a political market with heavy recent movement and a wide 11¢ spread.
- The market is now around 70¢, giving a cheaper entry than the sharp bettor paid.
$1,019 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
New whale betting No
New 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets totaling about $49k and is adding a $7.5k No position in a political market with recent price momentum against Kim.
- This 8-day-old wallet has now been flagged 8 times for large bets, totaling about $49k.
- They bought $7.5k of No while Kim’s odds have fallen 18 points over the past week.
- The same wallet has $36k across related election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$7,533 on No
8-day wallet scaling NO
An 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets across this election event, now adding $2.8k on No in a niche political market.
- This new wallet has already had 6 large-bet flags totaling about $23k.
- They have $13k positioned across 2 markets in the same election event, suggesting a focused political thesis.
- Buying No at 60¢ implies they see Kim Kyung-soo as less likely than the market’s 40% Yes price.
$2,826 on No
New wallet net-Yes hedge
A 19-hour-old repeat large bettor put $6k into a niche Korean election market during a 169x volume spike, with net exposure favoring Kim Kyung-soo Yes despite a partial hedge.
- A brand-new wallet has already made $17.3k in flagged large bets within its first day.
- This trade came during a 169x volume spike in a niche political market.
- The wallet bought both sides, but its larger $4.1k Yes buy makes the net position pro-Kim at 41¢.
$6,018 on Yes
New wallet net Yes whale
A 19-hour-old wallet put a net large Yes position into a niche Korean gubernatorial market during a 155x volume spike, though it has no resolved track record yet.
- A brand-new 19-hour wallet has already placed $17.3k in flagged bets, including a net Yes position here.
- This market saw a 155x volume spike versus its historical average, suggesting unusual attention on a normally niche race.
- The wallet bought mostly Yes at 41¢ while current Yes odds are 42¢, implying it is positioning before any broader move.
$13,372 on Yes
18-hour politics whale
A brand-new wallet is making repeat five-figure-sized bets on a niche Korean election market where informational edge is plausible.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old and has already made $11.3k in flagged bets.
- The $7.4k buy is large for this market, equal to about 41% of the past day’s volume.
- Entry at 41¢ suggests they see meaningful upside in a niche election market.
$7,354 on Yes
Sharp niche politics bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% long-term win record is buying No on a niche political election market while also positioning across the event.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $44,339 lifetime.
- They are betting across 2 related markets in this election, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 59¢ implies they see No as the more likely side despite a tight 41¢/43¢ market.
$1,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x1255...dc0f — No, $81,805
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $64,731
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Yes, $57,936
- 0x2d90...3259 — Yes, $53,982 (83% win rate)
- 0xf5b3...4155 — No, $29,710 (46% win rate)
- 0x8c5b...a790 — Yes, $19,631 (83% win rate)
- 0x2f1a...bfa2 — Yes, $18,764
- 0x27d2...a66c — Yes, $13,684 (58% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Yes, $10,657 (81% win rate)
- 0xff9e...56a1 — No, $9,496 (43% win rate)
Related Theses
Park wins Gyeongsangnam governorship
Covers 2 related markets
Park Wan-soo wins reelection
Covers 2 related markets
Kim wins Gyeongsangnam governorship
Covers 2 related markets
Oh Se-hoon wins Seoul mayor
Covers 2 related markets
