Part of: Zambia Presidential Election Winner

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,681.

Categories: Main Election, Zambia, President, Politics, Elections, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly profitable, extensively sampled trader with a 71% win rate is making a fresh $2,212 Yes entry while also positioning across related markets.

This bettor has won 71% of 1,197 resolved trades and is up more than $1.1 million lifetime.
The wallet placed a fresh $2,212 Yes bet despite thin 24-hour activity, signaling meaningful conviction in the heavily favored candidate.
The trader has acted across 50 events and 71 markets, with another position in this election event supporting a broader thesis.

$2,212 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable whale in quiet market

A highly experienced profitable wallet bought Yes in a very quiet niche politics market, making a bet over 55x the market's 24h volume.

This bettor has won 78% of 883 resolved trades and is up $81.6k lifetime.
The $1.47k buy was more than 55x this market’s 24h volume, a strong signal in a quiet market.
Entry at 80¢ suggests they are backing Hichilema as a clear favorite despite minimal recent trading.

$1,468 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10890947, $28,039
0xb4d1...4c60 — Outcome 10890947, $13,159
0x5004...9999 — Outcome 10890947, $1,251
0x815a...af37 — Outcome 10890947, $1,228
0x61bb...12ee — Outcome 10890947, $1,004
0x3872...bb1d — Outcome 10890947, $909
0x4504...e77d — Outcome 10890947, $510
0x8d58...b7bc — Outcome 10890947, $501
0x4b10...a159 — Outcome 10890947, $325
0xb11d...a6c5 — Outcome 10890947, $238

Related Theses

Iran closes airspace after May 8

Covers 3 related markets

Bab el-Mandeb closes by year-end

Covers 1 related market

Farage misses 70–80% vote share

Covers 1 related market

Israel-Iran peace deal happens

Covers 1 related market

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

ResolvedZambia Presidential Election Winner$3,681 tracked2 signalsMain ElectionZambiaPresidentPoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

Price History — “Yes”

98¢

89¢

81¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction