Part of: Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $389,513.
Categories: Iran, Israel, World, Trump, Middle East, Geopolitics, Iran Regime, Reza Pahlavi
Notable Trades
New wallet buying No
A new repeat large-bet wallet is taking the 90¢ No side during a major volume spike, but the lack of resolved history makes this more of a flow signal than a proven sharp bettor.
- A new wallet placed two repeat bets totaling $2.5K on No at 90¢.
- Market volume is running about 45x above its historical pace, suggesting fresh attention around this question.
- The bet is contrarian to the recent Yes uptick, backing the 90% favorite despite elevated activity.
$2,484 on No
New wallet buying No
A new wallet repeatedly bought $7.9k of No during an unusually large volume spike on a politically meaningful market, though there is no proven wallet track record yet.
- A new wallet put $7.9k into No in five rapid buys at 90¢.
- Market volume is spiking over 100x its historical pace, suggesting fresh attention around this outcome.
- The trade is a high-probability position, but the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
$7,875 on No
New wallet fading spike
A new wallet made repeated No buys during a 112x volume spike on a geopolitically sensitive market, suggesting a timely fade of coup-attempt speculation despite limited wallet history.
- A fresh wallet bought $2.7k of No in two back-to-back trades at 90¢.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 112x above its historical average.
- This looks like a conviction fade of the Iran coup-attempt chatter rather than a proven sharp-wallet trade.
$2,736 on No
New whale buying NO
A new wallet is making repeated five-figure No buys during a major volume spike on a geopolitical market, though it has no resolved track record yet.
- A new wallet put $16.4k into No across 7 rapid buys at 90¢.
- This is the wallet’s fourth large-bet alert, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- Market volume is running 127x above its historical average, making this flow worth watching.
$16,380 on No
New whale buying No
A repeat-flagged new wallet is making another large, concentrated No bet on a high-volume geopolitical market amid a major volume spike, but it has no resolved track record yet.
- A new wallet has now been flagged 24 times, with about $69k in notable bets despite no resolved history yet.
- This trade adds $19.5k on No at 90¢, matching the market’s current best price.
- Market activity is unusually elevated, with volume running about 268x above its historical average.
$19,530 on No
New whale buying No
A repeat-flagged new wallet has put meaningful size into No on a geopolitics market during a large volume spike, but there is no resolved track record yet.
- A new wallet is repeatedly betting large, with $69K flagged across 24 alerts and $22.4K added here.
- This is fresh size into No at 90¢ on a market with heavy 24h activity and a 151x volume spike.
- The bet is high-confidence but low-upside: buying at 90¢ targets a relatively small return if no coup attempt occurs.
$22,410 on No
Repeat new whale on NO
A repeat new wallet is making a large, concentrated No bet into a major volume spike on a geopolitics market, but it has no resolved track record yet.
- A new wallet has now been flagged 18 times and put over $52K into large bets, suggesting a repeat high-conviction bettor.
- This trade added $34K on No around 90¢, across 12 rapid buys in about 13 minutes.
- Market volume spiked 119x versus its normal pace, showing this bet came during unusual activity.
$34,158 on No
Repeat new wallet buying favorite
A repeat new wallet is putting meaningful size into No during a sharp volume spike, but there is no proven track record yet and the bet is on a heavy favorite.
- A new wallet has now been flagged 17 times, with nearly $50K in notable bets.
- This trade adds net exposure to No around 89–90¢ during a 105x volume spike.
- The market is seeing unusually heavy activity, with $249K traded in the past 24 hours.
$14,628 on No
New whale fading coup risk
A repeat-flagged new wallet put a large concentrated No position into a geopolitics market during a 157x volume spike, despite having no resolved track record yet.
- A new wallet put about $38K into No at 89–90¢, adding size in repeated buys.
- Market volume spiked 157x versus its historical pace, suggesting a sudden wave of attention.
- This is a geopolitics market where informed views may matter, but the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
$38,124 on No
New whale buying No
A repeat-flagged new wallet put roughly $35k into No during a major volume spike, signaling high conviction against an Iran coup attempt despite no resolved track record.
- A new wallet is making a large, repeated bet, with $46,992 total flagged across recent activity.
- This trade adds roughly $35k at 89¢ during a 248x volume spike versus the market’s usual activity.
- The position is effectively betting the coup-attempt odds are too high, with No already priced near 89¢.
$35,244 on No
Top Holders
- 0xae7c...487e — Outcome 10132262, $41,069 (86% win rate)
- 0x5d0f...f0ad — Outcome 10132262, $39,497 (88% win rate)
- 0xd43d...8a2a — Outcome 10132262, $34,048 (40% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 10132262, $21,681 (76% win rate)
- 0x9078...26af — Outcome 10132262, $16,471
- 0x24be...44cb — Outcome 10132262, $14,831
- 0xb128...cf58 — Outcome 10132262, $11,558 (74% win rate)
- 0x557a...3d56 — Outcome 10132262, $10,179 (81% win rate)
- 0x98a7...df9e — Outcome 10132262, $10,000
- 0xb5be...7286 — Outcome 10132262, $10,000
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Iran airspace closes by August 15
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Israel-Iran Ceasefire Will Continue Throughout Summer
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Iran airspace closes in June
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