Part of: Alaska Senate Election Winner
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
This prediction market tracks whether Mary Peltola will win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election, including any runoffs. It is scheduled to resolve after the November 3, 2026 election once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,019 in smart money activity and 1 signal on this market.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,019.
Categories: Elections, US Election, Midterms, Politics, Senate midterms, Alaska Midterm
Notable Trades
Profitable wallet on thin market
A profitable but not yet proven wallet bought No for about 8x the market’s recent daily volume on a thin Alaska Senate market.
- This bettor is up $9.4K lifetime, though their track record is still small at 9 resolved bets.
- The $1.0K No buy was nearly 8x recent 24h volume, a large move for this quiet market.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Peltola losing as better than a coin flip.
$1,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $13,059
- 0xf1f9...1245 — Yes, $3,761 (56% win rate)
- 0x77a6...3606 — No, $3,118 (67% win rate)
- 0x09bb...f8b1 — Yes, $2,239 (56% win rate)
- 0xde04...fa37 — Yes, $2,046 (48% win rate)
- 0x944e...8c94 — Yes, $1,837 (61% win rate)
- 0xbbd2...9b1a — Yes, $1,510
- 0xe4c1...f022 — No, $1,397 (62% win rate)
- 0x1d75...78b9 — Yes, $1,270
- 0x5d74...ee45 — Yes, $1,217
