Part of: Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
This Polymarket market asks whether Indiana will enact a legally binding, statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2028. The supplied metadata does not include current Yes/No odds; it reports one smart-money signal, a five-wallet position of about $106,197 on No. The market resolves after the deadline, on January 1, 2029.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Indiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $121,433.
Categories: AI, Tech, states, Compute, Earn 4%, Indiana, Politics, AI Regulation
Notable Trades
Large Yes bet in a quiet market
A $15.2k sale of No on a low-volume market converts to a sizable Yes position, with the market already moving toward Yes; the trader is active across many markets but has only a moderate record.
- A $15,236 trade is about 15 times this market’s 24-hour volume.
- The trader sold No at 77¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 23¢, as Yes odds have risen 10% this week.
- This serial cross-market trader has made $78,000 overall, though their 60% win rate is not exceptional.
$15,236 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Five-wallet, $106K No position
Five wallets bought No for $106,197 amid a 178x volume spike, with the market moving toward No and some participants showing strong profitable histories.
- Five wallets put a combined $106,197 on No, with trades clustered within about a minute.
- Trading volume spiked to 178 times its historical average, and No has since moved from roughly 65¢ to 69¢.
- One participant has a 71% win rate across 652 resolved bets and is up about $301K lifetime.
$106,197 on No
Top Holders
- 0x8f69...2923 — Yes, $14,715
- 0xa8c6...44e8 — No, $13,414 (68% win rate)
- 0x49f2...d7b4 — No, $11,819 (56% win rate)
- 0x8de0...7f22 — Yes, $10,396
- 0x7c3d...5c6b — No, $5,843 (53% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $3,403
- 0xf0d5...c665 — No, $3,218 (95% win rate)
- 0x7e30...1e50 — Yes, $2,615 (89% win rate)
- 0x215a...254c — Yes, $2,127
- 0x3187...1df4 — Yes, $1,136
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