Part of: United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,050.
Categories: Politics, World Elections, Elections, Russia, Global Elections, Russia Election
Notable Trades
Proven bettor on quiet market
Surfaced despite a low composite score because the buyer has a long positive track record and is putting fresh money into a quiet political market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 651 bets and is up about $5k lifetime.
- They bought $2.1k of No in a market with $0 reported 24h volume, suggesting a deliberate position rather than routine flow.
- Entry at 82¢ implies they see United Russia falling below 355 seats as highly likely.
$2,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $132,537
- 0x23d8...0288 — Yes, $12,276 (82% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $10,754 (45% win rate)
- 0x2b9d...adc0 — Yes, $8,697 (53% win rate)
- 0x40b5...6b5f — No, $6,818
- 0xd3fe...7926 — Yes, $6,756 (100% win rate)
- 0x3eae...e2ed — No, $6,748 (97% win rate)
- 0xa81e...03dc — Yes, $6,699 (57% win rate)
- 0xa0bc...d428 — Yes, $5,841 (55% win rate)
- 0xc23e...6499 — Yes, $5,790
Related Theses
United Russia wins under 340 seats
Covers 2 related markets
KPRF will finish second
Covers 2 related markets
