Part of: How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

This prediction market asks whether United Russia will win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election, scheduled for September 2026. The market resolves based solely on the number of State Duma seats won by United Russia, with $2,050 in smart money tracked and one recent smart money signal. If definitive results are not known by May 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,050.

Categories: Politics, World Elections, Elections, Russia, Global Elections, Russia Election

Notable Trades

Proven bettor on quiet market

Surfaced despite a low composite score because the buyer has a long positive track record and is putting fresh money into a quiet political market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 651 bets and is up about $5k lifetime.
  • They bought $2.1k of No in a market with $0 reported 24h volume, suggesting a deliberate position rather than routine flow.
  • Entry at 82¢ implies they see United Russia falling below 355 seats as highly likely.

$2,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9901...6046 — No, $3,188 (80% win rate)
  2. 0xf5e4...471a — Yes, $3,046
  3. 0xa0bc...d428 — Yes, $1,245
  4. 0x4be5...c1b3 — Yes, $1,000 (85% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $945
  6. 0xdb86...1dc5 — No, $885
  7. 0x7e35...1a6c — No, $449 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x8f13...daae — Yes, $388
  9. 0xda14...61e8 — No, $333
  10. 0x483b...623b — No, $286

Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

103dHow many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?$2,050 tracked1 signalPoliticsWorld ElectionsElectionsRussiaGlobal ElectionsRussia Election
Yes
19¢
No
82¢

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Price History — “No”
84¢
81¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

2h ago

$2,050 on No at 82¢

82¢→82¢