Part of: Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,715.
Categories: World, Elections, Sachsen-Anhalt, World Elections, International Election Props, Germany, Politics, Saxony-Anhalt, German Elections, Global Elections
Notable Trades
Serial trader scaling into No
A serial cross-market trader added a substantial No position in a thin, wide-spread market, though their historical win rate does not clearly exceed the odds they typically pay.
- This bettor has traded across 75 events and 81 markets, with 1,729 wins from 2,211 resolved bets.
- They added $3,715 to an existing No position in a market with only $7,857 in 24-hour volume.
- The 68¢ entry has already moved to about 87¢, but the wide spread and long-dated resolution make price discipline important.
$3,715 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 92471782, $6,018
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 41041373, $5,000 (82% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 41041373, $2,862 (94% win rate)
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 41041373, $754 (70% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 41041373, $700 (62% win rate)
- 0xcfff...673d — Outcome 41041373, $276
- 0xb17d...59ae — Outcome 41041373, $265 (82% win rate)
- 0x4f1d...8de2 — Outcome 41041373, $254 (74% win rate)
- 0x94bb...6807 — Outcome 41041373, $240
- 0xa667...ceb3 — Outcome 41041373, $227 (90% win rate)
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