Part of: Eurovision Winner 2026

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,158.

Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Profitable Eurovision specialist

Profitable high-volume wallet with a strong 823-bet history is making a large cross-market Eurovision position by buying Denmark No at 89¢.

  • This bettor is up $171K lifetime across 823 resolved bets, with a 68% win record.
  • They put $17.7K on Denmark not winning, after similar Eurovision positioning across 2 markets.
  • The 89¢ entry is a high-conviction favorite-side bet in a liquid market with $69K traded in 24h.

$17,719 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable cross-market Eurovision bettor

Profitable wallet is building a cross-market Eurovision thesis with nearly $198k across three related markets and a fresh Denmark Yes buy at 12¢.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 80 resolved trades and is up $9.4k lifetime.
  • They have put about $198k across 3 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader country-selection thesis.
  • This is a fresh re-entry on Denmark Yes at 12¢ after a prior larger position around 10¢.

$4,216 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable cross-market bettor

A profitable cross-market Eurovision bettor with 80 resolved bets is rebuilding a Denmark Yes position as part of a large $195k event-level thesis.

  • This bettor is profitable over 80 resolved markets, with 65% wins and about $9.4k in lifetime profit.
  • They have traded 3 Eurovision markets with nearly $195k of related exposure, suggesting a broader event thesis.
  • They previously put about $29k into Denmark Yes and is now buying again at 10¢.

$1,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Sharp Eurovision bettor buying Denmark

A profitable 76% winner with a strong edge is building a cross-market Eurovision position and bought Denmark Yes at 13¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $39,080 lifetime.
  • They have placed $10,895 across 3 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Entry at 13¢ implies they see Denmark as meaningfully underpriced.

$1,142 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,579,118
  2. 0xc4d1...8ce8 Yes, $349,583 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x45b0...4857 Yes, $215,140 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x63b1...1676 Yes, $200,095 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xf9a7...d725 Yes, $100,176
  6. 0x7523...4c4c Yes, $93,763 (47% win rate)
  7. 0xd48a...0da3 Yes, $78,669
  8. 0xad89...f6e1 No, $77,349 (68% win rate)
  9. 0xd17d...d0ee Yes, $42,229 (45% win rate)
  10. 0x44a1...bd21 Yes, $38,827 (57% win rate)

Related Theses

Denmark or France wins Eurovision

Covers 3 related markets

Australia Denmark France or Greece wins

Covers 5 related markets

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

Covers 4 related markets

Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

Covers 2 related markets

Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

Covers 3 related markets

Australia and Cyprus miss top five

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin rallies without deep crash

Covers 2 related markets

Malta surprises, rivals miss top ten

Covers 5 related markets

Bulgaria and Albania advance

Covers 2 related markets

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision Winner 2026$24,158 tracked4 signalsMusicAwardsCulturerewards 100, 4.5, 100Eurovision
Yes
2¢
No
98¢

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No
100¢
92¢
85¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

2d ago

$17,719 on No at 89¢

89¢98¢9¢

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

2d ago

$4,216 on Yes at 12¢

12¢2¢10¢

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

3d ago

$1,080 on Yes at 10¢

10¢2¢8¢

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

14d ago

$1,142 on Yes at 13¢

13¢2¢11¢

Related Theses