Part of: Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,087.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 78% lifetime bettor is adding to a broader cross-market Starmer-out thesis after a major 1-day price move.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25,108 lifetime.
  • They have put $21,397 across 5 related markets, showing a broader Starmer-out thesis.
  • The market has moved 28 points in the last day, and this buy at 83¢ follows strong momentum.

$1,452 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 78% lifetime bettor is adding to a broader cross-market Starmer-out thesis after a major 1-day price move.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25,108 lifetime.
  • They have put $21,397 across 5 related markets, showing a broader Starmer-out thesis.
  • The market has moved 28 points in the last day, and this buy at 83¢ follows strong momentum.

$1,074 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 78% lifetime bettor is adding to a broader cross-market Starmer-out thesis after a major 1-day price move.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25,108 lifetime.
  • They have put $21,397 across 5 related markets, showing a broader Starmer-out thesis.
  • The market has moved 28 points in the last day, and this buy at 83¢ follows strong momentum.

$2,418 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Cross-market bettor buys surge

Repeat cross-market political bettor bought $7.5k of Yes while the market saw a 43x volume spike and a 39-point daily move.

  • This bettor put $7.5k into Yes across four buys, paying 80–89¢ as the market rallied.
  • They are active across four related markets with about $17.9k positioned on this event.
  • Yes is up 39 points in 24 hours on a 43x volume spike, suggesting strong momentum behind the move.

$7,512 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 78% lifetime bettor is adding to a broader cross-market Starmer-out thesis after a major 1-day price move.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25,108 lifetime.
  • They have put $21,397 across 5 related markets, showing a broader Starmer-out thesis.
  • The market has moved 28 points in the last day, and this buy at 83¢ follows strong momentum.

$1,444 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable cross-market political bettor

Profitable wallet is building a cross-market political thesis, flipping from No to Yes in a thin Starmer market with wide spreads.

  • This bettor is up $33k lifetime and has placed $51k across 6 related political markets.
  • They flipped from a prior No position into Yes, suggesting a changed view rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The market is thin with an 11¢ spread, and their 47¢ entry is already marked around 52¢.

$1,186 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcca9...4c9f — No, $6,875 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x652b...f5c2 — No, $5,040
  3. 0xd426...334a — No, $4,635 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xbd04...fbb0 — No, $4,513 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x298f...1601 — No, $3,500 (33% win rate)
  6. 0x4a2b...af20 — No, $3,000 (59% win rate)
  7. 0x797f...aa36 — No, $2,946 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x69cc...2e44 — No, $2,916 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x3b87...2e2f — No, $2,841
  10. 0x92b2...c8d0 — No, $2,705

Related Theses

Peace deal lands mid-June

Covers 6 related markets

Starmer exits by June 2026

Covers 6 related markets

Ceasefire ends before November 15

Covers 7 related markets

Conflicting Iran blockade bets

Covers 3 related markets

Iran will keep airspace open

Covers 5 related markets

Lula or Flávio will win

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer exits in June

Covers 4 related markets

Deal delayed until late 2026

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran talks get extended

Covers 1 related market

Iran surrenders in June

Covers 4 related markets

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Starmer out by...?$15,087 tracked6 signalsStarmerUKkeirGrooming GangsPoliticsWorld
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Notable Trades

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

2026-06-22 04:20 UTC

$1,452 on Yes at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

2026-06-21 18:32 UTC

$1,074 on Yes at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

2026-06-21 15:50 UTC

$2,418 on Yes at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

2026-06-21 09:29 UTC

$7,512 on Yes at 84¢

84¢→100¢↑16¢

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

2026-06-21 07:42 UTC

$1,444 on Yes at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

2026-06-19 20:29 UTC

$1,186 on Yes at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Related Theses