Part of: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $391,048.
Categories: Macro Geopolitics, Hormuz, Oil, ships, Strait of Hormuz, Economy, transit, Iran, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
Sharp cross-market winner buys Yes
Sharp wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and $3.86M lifetime profit bought Yes at 13¢ despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.86M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M across 224 markets.
- Entry at 13¢ implies a high-upside bet against the current 86% No consensus.
$1,354 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
87% serial cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 8¢ on a liquid geopolitical shipping market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $223K lifetime.
- They have traded across 85 events and 143 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 8¢ gives a high-upside position if Strait traffic normalizes before the deadline.
$2,488 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
New wallet buying contrarian Yes
Very new wallet is repeatedly taking contrarian Yes exposure on a high-stakes geopolitical market, with early realized profit despite a small track record.
- This wallet is only 3 hours old but has already placed 7 flagged bets totaling about $14.9K.
- It has an early profitable record, up $6.7K on one resolved win.
- Buying Yes at 8¢ is a contrarian bet after the market fell 14 points over the past week.
$2,569 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
87% serial cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 8¢ on a liquid geopolitical shipping market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $223K lifetime.
- They have traded across 85 events and 143 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 8¢ gives a high-upside position if Strait traffic normalizes before the deadline.
$1,333 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
New wallet buying contrarian Yes
Very new wallet is repeatedly taking contrarian Yes exposure on a high-stakes geopolitical market, with early realized profit despite a small track record.
- This wallet is only 3 hours old but has already placed 7 flagged bets totaling about $14.9K.
- It has an early profitable record, up $6.7K on one resolved win.
- Buying Yes at 8¢ is a contrarian bet after the market fell 14 points over the past week.
$4,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Fresh wallet buying rebound
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly buying Yes on a high-volume geopolitical shipping market after already showing early profit, suggesting a concentrated contrarian position.
- This wallet is only 3.5 hours old but has already placed $16.9K in flagged large bets.
- It is buying Yes at 8¢ after the market fell 15 points this week, a clear contrarian rebound bet.
- The wallet has one resolved win so far and is up $6.7K, though the track record is still very small.
$6,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet buying contrarian Yes
Very new wallet is repeatedly taking contrarian Yes exposure on a high-stakes geopolitical market, with early realized profit despite a small track record.
- This wallet is only 3 hours old but has already placed 7 flagged bets totaling about $14.9K.
- It has an early profitable record, up $6.7K on one resolved win.
- Buying Yes at 8¢ is a contrarian bet after the market fell 14 points over the past week.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Fresh wallet buying rebound
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly buying Yes on a high-volume geopolitical shipping market after already showing early profit, suggesting a concentrated contrarian position.
- This wallet is only 3.5 hours old but has already placed $16.9K in flagged large bets.
- It is buying Yes at 8¢ after the market fell 15 points this week, a clear contrarian rebound bet.
- The wallet has one resolved win so far and is up $6.7K, though the track record is still very small.
$4,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet buying contrarian Yes
Very new wallet is repeatedly taking contrarian Yes exposure on a high-stakes geopolitical market, with early realized profit despite a small track record.
- This wallet is only 3 hours old but has already placed 7 flagged bets totaling about $14.9K.
- It has an early profitable record, up $6.7K on one resolved win.
- Buying Yes at 8¢ is a contrarian bet after the market fell 14 points over the past week.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
87% serial cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 8¢ on a liquid geopolitical shipping market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $223K lifetime.
- They have traded across 85 events and 143 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 8¢ gives a high-upside position if Strait traffic normalizes before the deadline.
$2,333 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xc851...cd2a — Outcome 46130022, $1,152,446 (52% win rate)
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 46130022, $871,702 (80% win rate)
- 0xc658...b784 — Outcome 46130022, $404,314 (69% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 46130022, $366,964 (67% win rate)
- 0xc5d3...d640 — Outcome 46130022, $312,914 (82% win rate)
- 0xa022...77f8 — Outcome 46130022, $280,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x3bef...d6e2 — Outcome 46130022, $195,019 (100% win rate)
- 0x20f9...dad9 — Outcome 46130022, $152,632 (81% win rate)
- 0xf0d9...e4ee — Outcome 46130022, $103,983 (63% win rate)
- 0xc884...e17e — Outcome 46130022, $103,301 (100% win rate)
