Part of: Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?
This prediction market asks whether Sweden’s Social Democratic Party (S) will receive between 27% and 30% of all valid votes in the September 13, 2026 parliamentary election. The provided market data does not include a current odds figure; resolution is based solely on the party’s final vote percentage, with boundary values assigned to the higher bracket.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,395.
Categories: Sweden Parliamentary Elections, Sweden, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props, Sweden Elections
Notable Trades
Proven sharp scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Yes position after a sharp market move.
- This bettor wins 78% of trades across 50 resolved positions and is up $46,565.
- They are adding $1,395 to an existing Yes position after the price rose 16% in one day.
- The new entry is around 51¢, suggesting meaningful confidence that S will finish between 27% and 30% of votes.
$1,395 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xdd15...4a07 — Yes, $8,357 (78% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $4,781
- 0x629b...995a — No, $4,079 (53% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $704 (62% win rate)
- 0x85d5...bbf0 — No, $489
- 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $377
- 0x2c16...6ae7 — Yes, $255
- 0xfe1a...6bcc — No, $200
- 0x7df0...0dfe — Yes, $175
- 0x7230...f3d0 — Yes, $150