Part of: Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,441.
Categories: Peru, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, Peru Election
Notable Trades
82% win-rate election trader
An 82% win-rate political trader is making a fresh cross-market bet here by selling Yes at 83¢, which translates to buying No at 17¢ in a liquid election market after a huge weekly price run-up.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $322,874 overall
- They trade across many related markets with a strong record: 51 events, 90 markets, and $2.1M deployed
- Selling Yes at 83¢ is the same as buying No at 17¢ after this market already jumped nearly 80% in a week
$2,602 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Repeat new-wallet whale
An 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed meaningful size across Polymarket and just bought another $5k into a fast-moving Peru election market, suggesting sustained conviction despite no long-term track record yet.
- This 8-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts and deployed about $51k total
- They just bought $5k of Yes at 86¢ in a market that is already moving hard, up 15 points in 1 day and 78 points in 1 week
- The trade is meaningful but not market-moving in a deep market with $222k 24h volume and $50k liquidity
$5,014 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet scaling into momentum
A 3-day-old wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets across multiple markets and is now scaling back into a fast-rising Peru election market despite already trading it before.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts and put about $11.6k to work
- They are adding back into Yes at 78¢ after previously trading this market, showing renewed conviction as odds keep rising
- The market is moving fast with odds up 15 points in a day and 68 points in a week, so this bet is following strong momentum
$2,311 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
New whale reloading Yes
A 3-day-old wallet with repeated large bets is re-entering and scaling into a fast-rising Peru election market, suggesting strong conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts with about $9.3k flagged across 6 positions
- They bought Yes at 77¢ after previously trading this market, showing renewed conviction rather than a first test bet
- The market is moving fast with odds up 11.7 points in a day and 67.8 points in a week, so this bettor is leaning into strong momentum
$1,396 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
82% win-rate election bettor
An 82% win-rate political trader with over $330k in profits is building a consistent cross-market Peru election thesis, and this trade bought Yes exposure at an implied 71¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $332k lifetime
- They have traded 87 markets across 48 events, which points to a repeatable event-trading edge
- This sale of No at 29¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 71¢, slightly below the current 74-75¢ market
$2,018 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
87% winner buying NO
A proven high-win-rate trader with strong cross-market event history is making a fresh binary bet by selling Yes at 63¢, equivalent to buying No at 37¢, which is worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved markets and is up $275k across 193 settled bets
- The trade is a fresh position on the other side: selling Yes at 63¢ is equivalent to buying No at 37¢
- This wallet has traded 72 related markets across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven process
$1,893 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
87% win-rate election trader
A highly profitable 87% win-rate trader is taking a fresh cross-market view in the Peru election by effectively buying No at 35¢ after previously closing an earlier No position.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $275k across 193 settled markets.
- The trade is effectively a BUY on No at 35¢, a fresh re-entry after an earlier No position was already closed.
- This wallet has made $428k of cross-market bets across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable event-trading edge.
$1,034 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
87% win-rate election trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 87% win rate opened a fresh Yes position in this Peru election market after previously closing the opposite side.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $274.5k across 193 resolved markets.
- They trade across many related markets with a strong record: 34 events, 72 markets, and $425k deployed.
- This is a fresh Yes bet at 63¢ after previously exiting a No position, showing a clear change in view rather than routine profit-taking.
$1,256 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Pro trader re-entering Yes
A highly profitable 75% win-rate trader with over $3.2M in profits reopened a Yes position in a fast-moving Peru election market after previously closing out, suggesting renewed conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved markets and is up $3.26M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets
- They just put $6.2k into Yes at 62¢ after previously closing a smaller position, which points to fresh conviction
- The market is active and trending up, with price up 49% this week and Yes now trading around 61%
$6,192 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
87% win-rate election bettor
A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate is making a fresh cross-market election trade by effectively buying No around 32¢ in a liquid Peru market after already closing an earlier No position.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved markets and is up $274k lifetime across 193 settled bets.
- The trade is a SELL Yes at 68¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 32¢ in this market.
- They trade across many related event markets with a strong record: 34 events, 72 markets, and $418k deployed.
$2,722 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 87795140, $240,171
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 87795140, $15,068 (48% win rate)
- 0x35bb...009b — Outcome 87795140, $11,249 (75% win rate)
- 0x98f8...d8b0 — Outcome 10205038, $7,008 (90% win rate)
- 0x0b38...171f — Outcome 10205038, $5,532 (91% win rate)
- 0x7b0f...145c — Outcome 87795140, $4,999
- 0x6ed9...fc35 — Outcome 87795140, $3,549
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 87795140, $3,492 (59% win rate)
- 0x30c1...3214 — Outcome 87795140, $2,566
- 0x782d...df02 — Outcome 87795140, $2,067
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