Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
40 signals across 3 markets · $116,592 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Markets (3)
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?17 signals · $61,640 tracked
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?22 signals · $52,441 tracked
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1 signal · $2,511 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying No
Three wallets all moved into No on this Peru election market, led by two bettors with 87%-91% win rates and one very new repeat wallet, pushing price sharply lower.
$4,256Score: 16.9 - 83% win-rate contrarian
A highly profitable cross-market political trader with an 83% win rate is taking a sizable fresh NO position against a sharply rising Peru election contract, making this a strong contrarian signal worth surfacing.
$4,338Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 10.0 - 83% win-rate election bettor
A proven profitable cross-market trader with an 83% win rate is taking a fresh $1.6k Yes position in a Peru election market after a sharp 41-point one-day drop, making this a credible contrarian setup worth watching.
$1,577Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.0 - 83% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable cross-market specialist with an 83% win rate bought NO at 45¢ in a major political market after a strong run-up, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.
$2,521Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.0 - 87% win-rate election trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 87% win rate opened a fresh Yes position in this Peru election market after previously closing the opposite side.
$1,256Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.0 - 87% win-rate election trader
A highly profitable 87% win-rate trader is taking a fresh cross-market view in the Peru election by effectively buying No at 35¢ after previously closing an earlier No position.
$1,034Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.0 - 87% winner buying NO
A proven high-win-rate trader with strong cross-market event history is making a fresh binary bet by selling Yes at 63¢, equivalent to buying No at 37¢, which is worth surfacing despite the modest size.
$1,893Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.0 - 87% win-rate election bettor
A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate is making a fresh cross-market election trade by effectively buying No around 32¢ in a liquid Peru market after already closing an earlier No position.
$2,722Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.0 - Sharp trader flipped to No
A proven high-volume cross-market winner flipped from a prior Yes position into a fresh $3.7k No buy as this Peru market dropped sharply, signaling a deliberate thesis change worth watching.
$3,658Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 8.3 - 87% win-rate macro bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 87% win rate put fresh money into No after a sharp move, making this a credible directional bet despite the modest size.
$2,339Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 8.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x784fee…5df9$32,147 · 2 markets · 15 alerts · 87% wins
- 0x1fee90…ed5e$29,701 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xdc03d6…804c$15,565 · 3 markets · 6 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x35bbba…009b$7,619 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 74% wins
- 0xf2f6af…5817$6,192 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x5685bf…62e2$5,305 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x676489…49c4$5,014 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xe790a1…63d2$3,707 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xfb02e0…df7c$2,764 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x3fbbb0…3f66$2,563 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins