This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved bets and is up $37K lifetime. They bought $2.8K of No at 68¢ after a fast 11-point move toward No. The market has heavy recent volume, but this wallet’s track record is the main signal.

Part of: Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,751.

Categories: Weather, Pandemics, Hantavirus, Culture

Notable Trades

4-wallet Yes momentum

Four wallets all flipped bullish on Yes while the market repriced sharply from around 55¢ to 92¢, suggesting coordinated momentum around a possible confirmed-case update.

Four wallets all bet Yes within minutes, pushing the market sharply higher.
The strongest entries were around 55¢, and Yes is now trading near 92¢ after an 86-point daily move.
This looks more like news-driven momentum than a proven sharp-wallet signal; chasing above the entry zone is less attractive.

$5,646 on Yes

4-wallet funded cluster

A 4-wallet linked cluster from a previously seen funder is collectively positioned for Yes, though this specific wallet's resolved win rate is weak.

Four linked wallets share the same funder and have put about $4.9K behind the same side.
This trade is effectively buying Yes at 20¢, matching a market that has already moved sharply in the last day.
The wallet itself has only won 30% of resolved bets, but is up about $30.9K lifetime on $128K invested.

$1,308 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

4-wallet funded Yes cluster

A 4-wallet funded cluster is collectively positioned for Yes, and this trade converts from selling No at 81¢ into buying Yes at 19¢ amid a sharp move against No.

Four wallets funded by the same source have placed $3.6K on the same side across runs.
This trade is effectively buying Yes at 19¢ while the market is actively moving that way.
The wallet’s win rate is weak, but it is up $30.9K lifetime and has won from long-shot entries before.

$2,112 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

95% winner buying Yes

Despite a weak standalone price-impact signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a 95% resolved win record and is effectively buying Yes after a sharp move in a very active market.

This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved bets and is up $37k lifetime.
They are effectively buying Yes at 40¢, against the current 31¢ market price.
The trade came during a fast 11-point move, with heavy 24h volume around this market.

$3,248 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% winner buying No

A highly successful wallet with a 95% resolved win rate bought No despite the alert only firing on modest price impact.

This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved bets and is up $37K lifetime.
They bought $2.8K of No at 68¢ after a fast 11-point move toward No.
The market has heavy recent volume, but this wallet’s track record is the main signal.

$2,825 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp 81% winner buying No

Sharp wallet override: a proven 81% winner with positive lifetime P&L bought No despite the alert having only a weak price-impact signal.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $70K lifetime.
They bought No at 67¢ after a fast 11-point move in under 5 minutes.
The market is very active today, so this looks more like a sharp directional bet than a thin-market blip.

$1,772 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

82% winner flips No

Despite a low composite score, this is worth surfacing because the buyer has a strong 82% resolved-bet record and is flipping into No after a sharp one-day move.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $25K lifetime.
They bought No at 45¢ after closing a prior Yes position, suggesting a fresh change in view.
No has moved sharply, with the market up 11 points in minutes and Yes down 35.5 points over the last day.

$1,034 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor flips to No

Sharp wallet override: despite a weak price-impact signal, the buyer has an 82% win rate over 157 resolved markets and is now buying No after closing a prior Yes position.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $25K lifetime.
They flipped from a closed Yes position into No, suggesting a changed view rather than routine profit-taking.
Bought No at 25¢ while the market now sits near 30¢, showing early momentum in their direction.

$1,151 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial trader flips Yes

A very active cross-market trader with $528k lifetime profit flipped from a prior No position into a $3.1k Yes buy during a sharp upward move.

This bettor is up $528k lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved markets.
They flipped from a prior No position into Yes at 72¢, suggesting a changed view rather than routine position management.
The Yes price jumped 13.5 percentage points in just over 2 minutes around this trade.

$3,137 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial trader flips Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader flipped from a prior No position into Yes during a fast upward move, though the trade size is modest relative to market volume.

This bettor is up $528K lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved trades.
They previously held No but has now bought Yes at 70¢, suggesting a changed view.
The Yes price jumped 13.5 points in just over two minutes, matching the direction of this buy.

$1,780 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

0x12d5...f0eb — Outcome 56488335, $33,051 (55% win rate)
0xe7e5...6ae4 — Outcome 56488335, $11,181
0x8261...3ae4 — Outcome 56488335, $10,598
0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 56488335, $8,707 (48% win rate)
0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 56488335, $4,404 (89% win rate)
0xf57a...72a5 — Outcome 56488335, $4,387
0x9bac...8684 — Outcome 56488335, $3,910 (76% win rate)
0xbfbe...aaae — Outcome 56488335, $3,353 (67% win rate)
0xe337...1f6f — Outcome 56488335, $2,196
0x4d1b...1419 — Outcome 56488335, $1,935 (71% win rate)

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Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

ResolvedConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$41,751 tracked18 signalsWeatherPandemicsHantavirusCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.