Part of: Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
This prediction market asks whether Gustavo Petro will be the first listed leader to permanently cease occupying his office before the end of 2026. The market resolves only on an actual permanent departure, not just a resignation announcement, election result, or temporary suspension. PolySpotter is tracking $3,276 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a proven winner buying No.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,276.
Categories: Politics, Geopolitics, Starmer, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Proven winner buys No
A highly experienced profitable wallet is effectively buying No on Petro being the next leader out, despite only a weak low-activity size signal.
- This bettor has won 83% of 1,318 resolved trades and is up $48K lifetime.
- The trade is a $3.3K effective buy of No, larger than half the flagged 24h market volume.
- They are fading the Yes side after a sharp move down, entering No around 61¢.
$3,276 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 24577050, $207,207
- 0xe6a0...61f3 — Outcome 38128511, $9,354
- 0xf422...baa9 — Outcome 38128511, $8,158 (84% win rate)
- 0x9d84...1344 — Outcome 38128511, $7,086 (43% win rate)
- 0x1463...ce78 — Outcome 38128511, $4,248
- 0x17ed...c087 — Outcome 38128511, $3,587 (57% win rate)
- 0x6139...6b7a — Outcome 38128511, $3,348 (71% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 38128511, $3,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x104f...6b02 — Outcome 38128511, $2,495 (17% win rate)
- 0xc01a...291f — Outcome 38128511, $2,144
Related Theses
Iran peace deal after summer
Covers 8 related markets
Starmer exits before Petro
Covers 2 related markets
Israel keeps its airspace open
Covers 2 related markets
