Trump out as President before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,483.
Notable Trades
Trump out as President before 2027?
A very new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just put $10k into a major political market, suggesting sustained high-conviction positioning worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 11-day-old wallet has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts totaling $82k
- They just put $10k on Yes in a major Trump market, showing clear conviction rather than a one-off punt
- Bought at 19¢ while the market now sits near 14¢, offering a lower follow price than the trader got
$10,000 on Yes
Trump out as President before 2027?
A high-volume political trade from a wallet with a 90% win rate across nearly 1,000 resolved bets is worth surfacing, even though the market itself is liquid and the entry is conservative.
- This bettor wins 90% of their bets and is up $1.34M across 995 resolved trades
- They bought $13.5k of No at 85¢ in a major politics market, taking 64% of the day's volume
- This wallet has traded 69 related markets across 55 events, showing a repeatable event-trading edge
$13,483 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x803d...135d — Yes, $202,570
- 0x07a9...32c8 — No, $195,247
- 0x312e...8604 — Yes, $176,361
- 0x1d37...f4a4 — Yes, $145,001
- 0xe8ff...c93b — No, $144,655
- 0xd8e9...ad9e — Yes, $102,784
- 0x3c8a...b45a — No, $89,383
- 0xe3de...5d6d — Yes, $83,661
- 0x8e02...8e77 — No, $75,107
- 0x8b71...8044 — No, $66,400 (91% win rate)