Trump out as President before 2027?
8 signals across 1 market · $377,760 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Trump out as President before 2027?
A highly profitable wallet with an 84% win rate and strong long-run edge is making a fresh five-figure bet on No in a major political market.
$10,080Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.0 - Trump out as President before 2027?
A very new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just put $10k into a major political market, suggesting sustained high-conviction positioning worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 4.5 - Trump out as President before 2027?
A high-volume political trade from a wallet with a 90% win rate across nearly 1,000 resolved bets is worth surfacing, even though the market itself is liquid and the entry is conservative.
$13,483Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.3 - 86% win-rate thesis trader
A proven high-win-rate trader with activity across 150 events sold No here, which converts to a Yes buy at 16¢ and is worth surfacing despite only one signal because the track record is strong.
$3,396Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.0 - Profitable sharp buying long-shot Yes
A profitable 75% winner with a strong edge record bought $1k of Yes on a major politics market at 14¢, though the sizing is modest relative to market liquidity.
$1,008Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - 86% win-rate political sharp
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate is buying No at 84¢ on a major political market, making this a reasonable sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection source.
$4,200Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.0 - Profitable whale buying NO
Profitable high-volume wallet put $186k on No, nearly 8x the market's 24h volume, with a solid 77% resolved-bet win record.
$186,171Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 2.6 - Profitable whale backs No
A highly profitable political bettor put $149k on No, backed by a 78% resolved-trade win record and nearly $3M in P&L.
$149,421Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 2.0
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