Part of: FL-14 Republican Primary Winner

Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,646.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, House Primary, Florida Primary, primary elections, Republican Primary, August 18 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly experienced serial trader with 1,170 resolved bets and $1.16M profit made a fresh Yes purchase in a relatively thin market amid strong upward price momentum.

This trader has won 72% of 1,170 resolved bets and earned $1.16M in profit.
The $1,646 Yes purchase came in a market with a 7-point spread and only $7,275 in 24-hour volume.
Yes has risen 29% in one day and 45% in one week, reinforcing the trader’s direction.

$1,646 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

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0xf9f2...5cba — Outcome 85578490, $250 (42% win rate)
0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 85578490, $214 (76% win rate)
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 85578490, $50
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0xfab1...f0cc — Outcome 85578490, $50
0xccad...46ec — Outcome 85578490, $39

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Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?

ResolvedFL-14 Republican Primary Winner$1,646 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimariesdeprec USA ElectionHouse PrimaryFlorida Primaryprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryAugust 18 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “Yes”

84¢

58¢

32¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction