Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $14,405.
Notable Trades
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
A profitable wallet with a 75% win rate is making a sizable cross-market political bet on Orbán at 36¢, a meaningful position in a liquid election market.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $17.2k lifetime
- They just put $14.4k on Yes at 36¢, implying they see Orbán as meaningfully undervalued
- This is part of a $51.4k two-market position in the same event, showing a focused election thesis
$14,405 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,824,012
- 0xfd22...ad91 — Yes, $354,707 (36% win rate)
- 0xca76...28b3 — Yes, $187,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x33b8...7e29 — Yes, $126,954
- 0xafba...e61b — Yes, $111,894 (69% win rate)
- 0xa8a8...bdc6 — Yes, $99,044
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $83,033 (80% win rate)
- 0x88c7...4dd1 — Yes, $78,909
- 0xee66...ead4 — Yes, $78,849
- 0x629b...995a — No, $69,918