Part of: How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
This prediction market asks whether United Russia will win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election, scheduled for September 2026. It resolves based solely on the party’s final seat count in the Duma, with smart money tracking showing $1,015 and 1 signal so far.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,015.
Categories: Politics, World Elections, Elections, Russia, Global Elections, Russia Election, International Election Props
Notable Trades
81% winner cross-market bet
Surfacing because a highly experienced wallet with an 81% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is taking a cross-market No position in a thin political election market.
- This bettor has won 81% of 718 resolved bets and is up $8,040 lifetime.
- They are positioning across 2 related Russian election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- The $1,015 No buy is meaningful in a market with only $1,536 traded in the past day.
$1,015 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $6,669
- 0x5c14...cc49 — Yes, $2,870 (86% win rate)
- 0x9901...6046 — No, $2,147 (82% win rate)
- 0x38f5...6824 — Yes, $1,971 (43% win rate)
- 0xf5e4...471a — Yes, $1,151
- 0x0845...6b6f — Yes, $932 (70% win rate)
- 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $473
- 0x52eb...67ac — No, $300
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Yes, $208
- 0xa9ec...57d5 — Yes, $201
Related Theses
KPRF will finish second, LDPR won’t
Covers 2 related markets
United Russia wins under 340 seats
Covers 2 related markets
