Part of: KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,758.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Republican Primary, House Primary, Kentucky Primary
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% resolved win rate is buying No on a niche political primary market.
- This bettor has won 72% of 196 resolved markets and is up $61k lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $1.39M deployed across 135 markets in 95 events.
- Buying No at 72¢ means they are backing Ed Gallrein as unlikely to win the nomination.
$1,758 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $52,268
- 0x2f1a...bfa2 — Yes, $10,987
- 0x8633...a08d — No, $9,447 (69% win rate)
- 0x202b...971a — No, $8,968
- 0xdc03...804c — Yes, $7,360 (81% win rate)
- 0xfd39...109d — No, $6,659 (73% win rate)
- 0x477f...19aa — Yes, $6,243
- 0x1c14...0869 — Yes, $5,819 (60% win rate)
- 0x944e...8c94 — Yes, $5,512 (61% win rate)
- 0xf1f9...1245 — Yes, $5,500 (56% win rate)
