KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
16 signals across 2 markets · $77,071 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% winner buying Yes
Proven 85% win-rate wallet with $1.26M profit is buying Yes, backed by serial cross-market activity and a 15-wallet funded cluster.
$3,381Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 85% winner in 15-wallet cluster
Strong surface-worthy trade from an 85% lifetime winner with $1.29M profit, backed by a 15-wallet funded cluster buying Yes on a plausible political edge market.
$5,704Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 85% winner, 15-wallet cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is buying Yes, backed by a 15-wallet funded cluster signal despite modest sizing.
$1,793Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 85% winner in funded cluster
Proven political/cross-market bettor with 85% resolved win rate and $1.29M profit is buying Massie Yes, backed by a 15-wallet funded cluster.
$7,399Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - 81% win serial political bettor
Profitable serial cross-market political bettor with an 81% resolved win rate bought $30.6k of Yes on Massie at 75¢.
$30,597Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.0 - Serial cross-market winner
Seasoned cross-market trader with a 73% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Yes in a political primary market.
$2,220Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 7.0 - 86% winner buying NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved-bet win rate bought $6.8k of No at 25¢ on a political primary market.
$6,807Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.3 - 88% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% win rate bought No at 36¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
$2,231Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0 - 85% winner buying YES
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% historical win rate is buying Yes on a political primary market.
$1,453Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0 - 88% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate bought No at 36¢, making this a copy-worthy sharp bet despite the modest size.
$1,165Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdc03d6…804c$30,597 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x000d25…758e$18,278 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$11,217 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x15fdd6…cc95$5,858 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xfd39b5…109d$3,978 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 73% wins
- 0xb4f259…e5fa$2,180 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x853212…738b$2,010 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x8633c1…a08d$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x31c518…ede4$1,453 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins