Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be President of Russia at any point before December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if he resigns, is removed, or is otherwise out of office for any period before the deadline, including if an announced departure is made official before the market ends. Traders use this market to track real-time prediction market odds around Russian politics, regime stability, and major geopolitical developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,576.
Categories: putin, Geopolitics, Ukraine, Politics, World, Russia, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$10,000 | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable macro event trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate sold No here, which translates to a fresh buy on Yes around 11¢ from a bettor with a long profitable track record.
- This bettor has won 72% of 2,509 resolved trades and is up about $210k lifetime.
- They trade across 80 related markets in 74 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes near 11¢, a cheap asymmetric position on a major geopolitical market.
$1,780 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
A profitable wallet with a solid 75% win rate and $2.1M P&L just made a $76.8k concentrated buy on No that was over 5.4x the market’s entire 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime
- The $76.8k order was 550% of the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
- They bought No at 88¢ in a political market with enough depth to take size, backing the high-probability side
$76,796 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xc810...2e98 — Yes, $270,317
- 0xc1fa...d0b7 — Yes, $225,643
- 0x8c80...02c3 — No, $159,018 (77% win rate)
- 0x5e85...80c1 — Yes, $129,993
- 0x464e...1a67 — No, $108,226
- 0x0f96...09b7 — Yes, $98,760
- 0x5c22...e4db — Yes, $71,800
- 0x2970...e1c9 — Yes, $70,411
- 0x1d37...f4a4 — Yes, $65,001
- 0x5c14...cc49 — No, $61,021
