Part of: Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,325.

Categories: Brazil, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A consistently profitable bettor with a 92% record added to a sizable No position with a trade worth nearly three times the market’s 24-hour volume.

This bettor has won 92% of 193 resolved bets and is up about $56,800.
They put $1,325 into No—nearly three times the market’s 24-hour volume—and already held a $3,540 No position.
The trade was entered at 87¢; No is currently priced around 76¢, so the market has moved against the entry.

$1,325 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%