What makes this market resolve Yes?

It resolves Yes if Lutnick's resignation or removal is announced before the market ends, or if he otherwise ceases to be a member of the Trump administration by the deadline.

When does the Howard Lutnick market resolve?

The market ends at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 31, 2026, with a listed resolution timestamp of January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC.

What does smart money activity show for this market?

PolySpotter tracks one smart-money signal totaling $1,432. The recent alert says a serial trader added to a No position.

Part of: Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Q: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

The market is still open and asks whether Lutnick will leave by December 31, 2026. The supplied metadata does not include current Yes or No odds.

This Polymarket market asks whether Howard Lutnick will leave the Trump administration by December 31, 2026; it resolves Yes if his departure is announced or he otherwise ceases to serve by the deadline. Current odds are not included in the supplied market data. The page records one tracked smart-money signal, with a trader adding to a No position, and resolves at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,432.

Categories: Politics, Trump

Notable Trades

Serial trader adds to No position

An established serial cross-market trader added $1,432 to an existing No position in a market with only $13 in 24-hour volume, though the historical win rate does not establish clear odds-adjusted edge.

The wallet has 1,453 resolved bets and is up about $75,000 overall.
It added $1,432 to an existing No position at 82¢, while the market had only $13 in 24-hour volume.
The trader has appeared across 31 events, but its 78% win rate alone does not prove an edge at these odds.

$1,432 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%