Part of: South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,998.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, Senate Primary, South Carolina, primary elections, Republican Primary, Lindsey Graham, US Election, August 11 Primaries, USA Election
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$1,921 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate and $356,666 lifetime profit is adding $3,690 to an existing No position at 87%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,086 resolved trades and earned $356,666 in profit.
- They are adding $3,690 to an existing No position, reinforcing the view that Ralph Norman will not win the nomination.
- The 87¢ entry implies the trader sees roughly an 88% chance of No, consistent with the current market but backed by substantial experience.
$4,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate and $356,666 lifetime profit is adding $3,690 to an existing No position at 87%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,086 resolved trades and earned $356,666 in profit.
- They are adding $3,690 to an existing No position, reinforcing the view that Ralph Norman will not win the nomination.
- The 87¢ entry implies the trader sees roughly an 88% chance of No, consistent with the current market but backed by substantial experience.
$7,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$2,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$2,720 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate and $356,666 lifetime profit is adding $3,690 to an existing No position at 87%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,086 resolved trades and earned $356,666 in profit.
- They are adding $3,690 to an existing No position, reinforcing the view that Ralph Norman will not win the nomination.
- The 87¢ entry implies the trader sees roughly an 88% chance of No, consistent with the current market but backed by substantial experience.
$5,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate and $356,666 lifetime profit is adding $3,690 to an existing No position at 87%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,086 resolved trades and earned $356,666 in profit.
- They are adding $3,690 to an existing No position, reinforcing the view that Ralph Norman will not win the nomination.
- The 87¢ entry implies the trader sees roughly an 88% chance of No, consistent with the current market but backed by substantial experience.
$2,477 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp serial trader buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is re-entering No at 83% in this Senate nominee market.
- This bettor wins 82% of 215 resolved trades and is up $1.08 million.
- The wallet has made $918,426 across 88 markets and is taking a fresh $1,440 No position at 83%.
- No is priced near the market consensus at 84%, so the appeal comes from the trader’s proven edge rather than a major price dislocation.
$1,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate and $356,666 lifetime profit is adding $3,690 to an existing No position at 87%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,086 resolved trades and earned $356,666 in profit.
- They are adding $3,690 to an existing No position, reinforcing the view that Ralph Norman will not win the nomination.
- The 87¢ entry implies the trader sees roughly an 88% chance of No, consistent with the current market but backed by substantial experience.
$3,690 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$1,362 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $97,762
- 0xdc41...dd7e — Yes, $37,600 (73% win rate)
- 0x4488...e319 — No, $35,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x9d84...1344 — Yes, $34,280 (43% win rate)
- 0x54ce...9f80 — Yes, $33,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x7e59...7b8b — Yes, $23,291 (47% win rate)
- 0x614d...1546 — No, $21,027 (67% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — No, $19,019 (82% win rate)
- 0xecaa...77a9 — No, $18,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x000d...758e — Yes, $13,877 (86% win rate)
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