South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
12 signals across 2 markets · $41,467 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary and related GOP nominee outcome for the 2026 Senate race. The current child market focuses on whether Russell Fry will become the new Republican nominee, with PolySpotter tracking $6,438 in smart-money activity and a recent profitable-wallet signal fading Fry.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.
$11,662Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor adds to No position
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 42-point edge is adding to a substantial No position at 30¢.
$1,171Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor adds to No position
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 42-point edge is adding to a substantial No position at 30¢.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor adds to No position
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 42-point edge is adding to a substantial No position at 30¢.
$2,416Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.
$2,880Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.9 - Sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.
$1,368Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.9 - Sharp serial trader backing No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge sold Yes at 60-61%, signaling meaningful conviction on No.
$5,032Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.9 - Sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.12M profit is making a fresh $1,946 bet on Yes at 71¢.
$3,665Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.9 - Profitable wallet fades Fry
A profitable high-volume wallet is adding a sizable No position in a relatively thin political market, with the trade helping push the market sharply away from Russell Fry.
$1,623Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.4 - Profitable wallet fades Fry
A profitable high-volume wallet is adding a sizable No position in a relatively thin political market, with the trade helping push the market sharply away from Russell Fry.
$1,266Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$26,553 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x1c144e…0869$9,327 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$5,587 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 82% wins
FAQs
What is the South Carolina Republican Senate primary prediction market about?
It covers the Republican nominee outcome for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate race, including a possible special primary or runoff. On this event page, the active market asks whether Russell Fry will be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina.
What are the odds on Russell Fry winning the GOP nomination?
The live odds are shown on the market page and move as traders buy and sell shares. PolySpotter adds context by highlighting smart-money activity, including a recent signal where a profitable wallet faded Fry.
Who is betting on this South Carolina Senate primary market?
Polymarket traders are pricing the outcome, while PolySpotter tracks activity from wallets with notable profit histories. Across this event, $6,438 in smart-money volume has been tracked so far.
What does “profitable wallet fades Fry” mean?
It means a wallet with a strong tracked performance history took a position against Russell Fry’s chances, or reduced exposure to him. It is not a guarantee of the outcome, but it can be a useful signal for market watchers.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the winner of the South Carolina Republican special Senate primary, including any runoff. If no special primary occurs by the stated deadline, it resolves based on the official Republican nominee for the November 2026 Senate election.