This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $67.7K lifetime. They sold $4.6K of Greece Yes after previously building a much larger position, signaling reduced confidence. The same wallet has $11.3K across related Eurovision markets, suggesting an active event-level thesis.

Part of: Eurovision Winner 2026

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,614.

Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Eurovision

Notable Trades

79% winner backs longshot

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and +$2.35M lifetime P&L bought Greece Yes at 6¢ despite the market drifting lower.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 81 events with nearly $4M tracked volume.
Entry at 6¢ is a longshot bet, but their record suggests they may see value despite recent weakness.

$1,099 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

79% winner buying longshot

Sharp wallet with 79% win rate and +$2.35M lifetime P&L is buying Greece Yes at 6¢ across Eurovision markets.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.94M deployed across 81 events.
Buying at 6¢ implies a high-upside longshot thesis despite Greece drifting over the past week.

$3,810 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

91% winner exits Yes

Sharp 91% winner is exiting Greece Yes after a large prior position and has cross-market Eurovision exposure, implying a copyable lean toward No despite some profit-taking context.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $67.7K lifetime.
They sold $4.6K of Greece Yes after previously building a much larger position, signaling reduced confidence.
The same wallet has $11.3K across related Eurovision markets, suggesting an active event-level thesis.

$4,602 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Proven Eurovision positioner

Proven profitable wallet with an 80% resolved win rate is expressing a broader Eurovision thesis by selling Greece Yes across a cross-market event position.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $45k lifetime.
They have positioned across 5 markets in the same Eurovision event, totaling about $21.9k.
Selling Greece at 11¢ is equivalent to buying No at 89¢, matching the market’s current favorite side.

$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp Eurovision bear

Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% resolved-bet win rate is taking a bearish Greece position while also trading across multiple Eurovision markets.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $45K lifetime.
They have put $22K across 5 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader event thesis.
Selling Greece Yes at 13¢ converts to buying No at 87¢.

$1,294 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

88% winner backs longshot

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 88% resolved win rate is taking a contrarian Eurovision position on Greece despite recent price weakness.

This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved trades and is up about $62k lifetime.
They have put about $11k across related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 13¢ implies a longshot payout if Greece’s odds rebound.

$2,005 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

88% serial market winner

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate and +$196k P&L is buying Greece Eurovision No at 78¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $196k lifetime.
They have traded across 160 markets and $5.8M in volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
Buying No at 78¢ means they are fading Greece despite its recent move up to 21% odds.

$1,874 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

78% winner Eurovision thesis

Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is building a broader Eurovision thesis, buying Greece Yes at 22¢ amid strong recent price momentum.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $43,767 lifetime.
They have put $23,498 across 5 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader researched view.
Greece has already moved nearly 10 points in 24 hours, and this buy came at 22¢.

$2,742 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp Eurovision cross-market fade

Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is fading Greece after a major price rally while also positioning across multiple Eurovision markets.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $43.8k lifetime.
They have placed $23.6k across 5 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
They are fading Greece after its odds jumped 15 points in a day, effectively buying No at 73¢.

$2,805 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Coordinated Greece Yes flow

Three wallets bought $32.8k of Greece Yes during a major Eurovision volume spike, led by one profitable bettor and a $27.6k concentrated buy at 14¢.

Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $32.8k at 14¢.
One buyer has made $162.8k lifetime across 805 resolved bets, despite usually betting higher-priced outcomes.
Market volume is spiking 96x above normal, suggesting fresh attention on this Eurovision outcome.

$32,815 on Yes