Part of: Alaska Senate Election Winner
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
This market asks whether Dan Sullivan will win Alaska’s U.S. Senate race in the 2026 midterm election, scheduled for November 3. Current odds aren’t included in the provided market metadata; the market resolves when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC call the race for the same candidate, with an “Other” outcome if results aren’t confirmed by July 31, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,361.
Categories: Alaska Midterm, Senate Elections, US Election, Midterms, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, United States, Key Senate Races
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader with linked-wallet support
A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader made a sizable bearish position, with a second wallet sharing the same funder adding corroboration.
- The trader has a long history of 1,755 resolved bets and is up about $887,000 lifetime.
- A $6,250 sell of Yes translates to a buy of No near 75¢; a second wallet sharing the funder adds some corroboration.
- The market is liquid, so this is notable for the bettor’s track record and position size rather than a thin-market price impact.
$6,250 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly active, substantially profitable trader placed a $5.1k No bet and has a long history across election markets, though the entry matches current odds closely.
- This bettor is up $3.7M across 1,091 resolved trades and has a 75% win rate.
- They placed a $5,111 No bet and have traded across 92 events and 134 markets.
- The 72¢ entry is near the current No price, so the trade shows conviction more than an obvious price discount.
$5,111 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
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