Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $94,848.
Notable Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Three wallets put nearly $24k behind Yes at 16¢, including a fresh wallet sizing in fast and a high-hit-rate bettor joining the same side.
- Three wallets all bought Yes around 16¢ for nearly $24k total, a clear one-sided bet.
- One wallet is less than 1 hour old and already put in $13.9k across 2 buys.
- Another wallet wins 78% of its bets, adding a proven bettor to the same side.
$23,940 on Yes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
A wallet from a 5-wallet funded cluster with a 94% win rate is taking the No side in a high-volume novelty market at 16¢ Yes, suggesting disciplined, coordinated conviction rather than random whale flow.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades with 50 settled bets behind them.
- 5 wallets funded by the same source have been tracked, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- They sold Yes at 16¢, effectively backing No around 84¢ in a market they likely view as still overpriced.
$3,708 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.34M profit just put $42k into No at 84¢ on a major, liquid narrative market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $1.34M lifetime
- They have traded 70 markets across 56 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 84¢ with $42k size, a clear vote that no official US confirmation happens before 2027
$42,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
A high-volume trader with an 84% win rate across 891 resolved bets just bought $25.2k of NO in a liquid novelty market, making this a credible follow despite only one signal firing.
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades across 891 resolved bets and is up $126k lifetime
- They just put $25.2k on NO at 84¢, a sizable position even in a liquid market
- Their history spans 50 events and 101 markets, showing a broad track record rather than a one-off punt
$25,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xaf23...377f — Yes, $894,254
- 0xcd09...da63 — Yes, $541,739
- 0xfb74...1513 — No, $480,346 (93% win rate)
- 0xa1b2...40ca — No, $262,679
- 0x5bff...ffbe — No, $258,291 (46% win rate)
- 0x073a...91e7 — Yes, $250,000 (38% win rate)
- 0x72e4...740a — Yes, $240,727
- 0xb9eb...ab05 — No, $238,095
- 0x7383...bd0b — No, $179,609
- 0x3c8a...b45a — No, $164,843